Schizophrenia: epidemiology, etiological theories, clinical subtypes, course, outcome, and treatment

Schizophrenia: epidemiology, etiological theories, clinical subtypes, course, outcome, and treatment

The commonest primary psychotic disorder, which starts in young adults and distorts thinking, perception, motivation and the sense of self; how ICD-10 and ICD-11 define it and its subtypes, the theories of its cause, its course from prodrome to relapse, and its treatment with antipsychotics, clozapine, psychological therapy and care of physical health.

At a glance

  1. Schizophrenia is a psychotic disorder of delusions, hallucinations, disorganised thinking, negative symptoms and cognitive impairment. ICD-10 and ICD-11 need a month of characteristic symptoms; DSM-5-TR needs six months of illness.
  2. About 1 in 100 to 1 in 150 people develop it, usually between the late teens and the early thirties, a few years earlier in men.
  3. It is highly heritable and polygenic; obstetric complications, cannabis (above all daily high-potency use), urban upbringing, migration and childhood adversity add to the risk. Excess dopamine release in the striatum is the best-supported final common pathway.
  4. ICD-10 keeps seven subtypes, paranoid the commonest; ICD-11 and DSM-5 dropped subtypes for ratings of the symptoms present.
  5. Treatment is an antipsychotic chosen with the patient for its side effects, with CBT, family intervention and an early intervention team. Clozapine is offered once two adequate trials of different antipsychotics have failed.
  6. Most patients relapse within five years of a first episode, and stopping treatment makes relapse about five times as likely. Life expectancy is roughly 10 to 15 years shorter, mostly from heart disease, so physical health is monitored as closely as the mental state.

Definition and overview

Schizophrenia is a chronic, usually relapsing psychotic disorder that distorts thinking, perception, emotion, will and the sense of self, without an organic cause. Kraepelin described it as dementia praecox in the 1890s, set apart from manic-depressive illness by its deteriorating course; Bleuler named it in 1908 for the split between thought, emotion and behaviour, not a split personality. There is no test: the diagnosis rests on the symptoms, their duration and the exclusion of other causes.

ICD-10 asks for one very clear symptom from groups a to d, or symptoms from two of groups e to h, for most of the time during a month or more:

GroupSymptoms
athought echo, insertion, withdrawal or broadcasting
bdelusions of control, influence or passivity; delusional perception
cvoices giving a running commentary, discussing the patient, or coming from part of the body
dpersistent delusions that are culturally inappropriate and impossible
epersistent hallucinations in any modality, with fleeting delusions or daily for weeks
fbreaks in the train of thought: incoherence, irrelevant speech, neologisms
gcatatonic behaviour
hnegative symptoms, not due to depression or medication

It is not diagnosed when marked mood symptoms came first, with overt brain disease, or in intoxication or withdrawal.

ICD-10 subtypeWhat dominates
Paranoid, the commonestpersecutory delusions and voices; affect, speech and volition relatively spared
Hebephrenicdisorganised thought and behaviour, shallow or giggling affect, mannerisms; onset at 15 to 25, fast decline, poor prognosis
Catatonicstupor or excitement, posturing, negativism, waxy flexibility, for at least 2 weeks
Undifferentiatedgeneral criteria met, no single subtype fits
Post-schizophrenic depressiona depressive episode within a year of a schizophrenic illness, some psychotic symptoms persisting; high suicide risk
Residuala year or more of negative symptoms after a clear psychotic episode
Simpleinsidious decline over a year or more into negative symptoms and aimless behaviour, never overtly psychotic; uncommon

Etiology and pathophysiology

Many genes of small effect, a few rare variants of large effect and exposures from before birth to early adulthood together disturb brain development and the dopamine and glutamate systems.

Heritability is about 80 per cent. The lifetime risk is about 1 per cent in the general population, 10 to 15 per cent with an affected parent or sibling, about 40 per cent when both parents are affected and 40 to 50 per cent for an identical twin. The largest genome-wide study found 287 risk loci, many in synaptic genes including the D2 receptor; the strongest signal, in the major histocompatibility complex, involves the complement gene C4, which tags synapses for pruning in adolescence. The 22q11.2 deletion leads to schizophrenia in about one in four carriers.

The family risk of schizophrenia
Nine soft lavender bars, one for each kind of relative of a person with schizophrenia, run to the right from a common start, their lengths the lifetime risk drawn to scale against fine dotted lines every ten per cent, up to half. Pale bands group them by the share of genes they have with that person, and the bars are deeper for relatives who share more. At the top, alone, the identical twin, the longest bar, reaching nearly half. In the next band, sharing half their genes, the child of two affected parents, about as long, then much shorter bars for the fraternal twin, the child of one affected parent and the brother or sister. Below, the half-brother or half-sister, then the first cousin, then, sharing no genes by descent, the husband or wife and the general population, the shortest bars.

Point at a name or a part to light it.

The more genes a relative shares with a person with schizophrenia, the higher their own lifetime risk: about 48 per cent for an identical twin against 1 per cent in the general population. Even an identical twin, with the same genes, is more likely not to develop it, so genes raise the risk without deciding it.

Simplified: Gottesman's figures, pooled from older European family and twin studies; other sources, such as the Oxford Handbook, give a little more for a brother, sister or child and a little less for a child of two affected parents; the share of genes is an average for each kind of relative; families share homes as well as genes; twin and adoption studies are needed to tell them apart.

3 sources
  1. Gottesman II. Schizophrenia Genesis: the Origins of Madness. WH Freeman, 1991. Figure 10, Lifetime risks of developing schizophrenia, p. 96.
  2. Semple D, Smyth R. Oxford Handbook of Psychiatry, 4th edition. Oxford University Press, 2019. Chapter 5, Schizophrenia and related psychoses, Inheritance and Table 5.2.
  3. Sullivan PF, Kendler KS, Neale MC. Schizophrenia as a complex trait: evidence from a meta-analysis of twin studies. Archives of General Psychiatry, 2003;60(12):1187–1192.
Environmental riskApproximate effect
Obstetric complications, fetal hypoxia, maternal infection or famineabout twofold; winter and spring birth add a little
Cannabis, especially in adolescence and daily high-potency usedaily high-potency use about fivefold, dose-related
Urban upbringingabout twofold, rising with years spent in a city
Migration, minority ethnic statusabout twofold, higher for Black African and Caribbean people in Europe and in the second generation
Childhood adversity, abuse, bullying, isolation; older fathertwofold to threefold for adversity

In a European study across eleven sites, removing high-potency cannabis would have prevented about 12 per cent of first episodes of psychosis overall, 30 per cent in London and half in Amsterdam.

The neurodevelopmental model rests on what comes before the illness: children who later develop it walk and talk slightly late, do less well at school and are more socially awkward, and at the first episode the ventricles are already enlarged, without the gliosis of degeneration. Early insults on a genetic background are thought to leave a vulnerability that shows when synapses are pruned in adolescence, often after a second hit such as cannabis or stress.

  1. 1

    Dopamine

    Amphetamine causes psychosis, and antipsychotics block D2 receptors in proportion to their potency. Imaging shows raised dopamine synthesis and release in the associative striatum, thought to give ordinary perceptions abnormal salience from which delusions and hallucinations are built.
  2. 2

    Glutamate

    Blocking the NMDA receptor with ketamine reproduces positive, negative and cognitive symptoms, and antibodies against it cause an encephalitis that mimics schizophrenia. Hypofunction on inhibitory interneurons disinhibits the cortex and, downstream, dopamine.
  3. 3

    Serotonin and acetylcholine

    LSD acts on 5-HT2A receptors, which most second-generation antipsychotics block. Stimulating central muscarinic receptors lowers striatal dopamine release, the basis of a new drug.

In the stress-vulnerability model, stress, drugs, sleep loss and a family high in criticism and over-involvement (high expressed emotion) bring on episodes in a vulnerable person. Theories that families cause schizophrenia were wrong.

Clinical features

GroupFeatures
Positivedelusions (persecutory, reference, control, grandiose), hallucinations, mostly voices, passivity
Disorganisedformal thought disorder (derailment, neologisms), bizarre behaviour, incongruous affect
Negativeblunted affect, poverty of speech, avolition, anhedonia, social withdrawal
Cognitiveslow processing, poor attention, memory and executive function, about one standard deviation below peers
Psychomotorcatatonia: stupor, mutism, posturing, negativism, excitement

Positive symptoms respond best to antipsychotics; negative and cognitive symptoms respond poorly and decide, more than voices, whether a person can work and live independently. Insight is impaired in most patients during an episode. Depression, anxiety, smoking (more than half), cannabis and alcohol are common. Violence is commoner than in others, mostly with substance use, but patients are far more often victims than perpetrators.

Schneider's first-rank symptoms suggest schizophrenia but are neither necessary nor specific, as they also occur in mania and organic psychoses: hearing one's thoughts aloud, voices arguing or commenting in the third person, thought insertion, withdrawal and broadcasting, feelings, impulses, actions or sensations made from outside, and delusional perception (a normal perception given a sudden delusional meaning).

  1. 1

    Prodrome

    Months to years of withdrawal, falling performance, suspiciousness, odd ideas and poor sleep, with brief or attenuated psychotic symptoms late on.
  2. 2

    First episode

    Florid psychosis, often presenting through family, school, police or self-harm rather than as a complaint of voices.
  3. 3

    Relapse

    Positive symptoms settle over weeks to months; relapses follow, often heralded by the same warning signs each time.
  4. 4

    Later course

    Recovery in some, relapses with residual negative and cognitive symptoms in most, a chronic disabling course in a minority.

Diagnosis and management

Assessment

The history includes family or friends, drugs and alcohol and a family history; the mental state examination records the psychosis, mood, insight, cognition and risk. A physical and neurological examination and tests look for organic causes and set a baseline: blood tests (full blood count, renal, liver and thyroid function, calcium, HbA1c, lipids, prolactin, HIV and syphilis where at risk), a urine drug screen and an ECG. MRI is done for neurological signs, cognitive decline or an atypical or late onset. NMDA receptor antibodies are sought when psychosis comes with seizures, abnormal movements, autonomic instability, reduced consciousness or a rapid course: anti-NMDA receptor encephalitis is treatable and must not be missed.

DifferentialPointers
Substance-induced psychosis (cannabis, stimulants, alcohol withdrawal, corticosteroids, levodopa)linked in time to use; settles with abstinence
Delirium and organic causes (epilepsy, encephalitis, tumour, lupus, thyroid disease)fluctuating consciousness, visual hallucinations, neurological signs
Mood disorder with psychotic featuresthe mood change comes first and the delusions match it
Schizoaffective, delusional and acute psychotic disordersthe balance of mood and psychosis, the range of symptoms, the duration
Schizotypal or paranoid personality, autismlifelong traits without sustained psychosis

Early intervention

People with an at-risk mental state (distress and falling function with attenuated or brief psychotic symptoms) are referred to a specialist service and offered individual CBT and help with anxiety, depression and substance use, with follow-up for up to three years; antipsychotics are not given to prevent psychosis. In the UK, everyone with a first episode is offered care from an early intervention in psychosis team for up to three years: medication, psychological therapy, family work and help with study and work. In England treatment should start within two weeks of referral; a long untreated psychosis predicts a poorer outcome.

The acute episode

Most patients are treated at home by a crisis or early intervention team; admission, under mental health law if necessary, is for high risk to self or others, severe disturbance or failure of community care. No antipsychotic apart from clozapine is clearly more effective than the others, so the choice is made with the patient by side effects:

AntipsychoticMain drawbacks
Aripiprazoleakathisia, nausea; little weight gain, lowers prolactin
Olanzapinemarked weight gain, diabetes, raised lipids, sedation
Risperidone, amisulprideraised prolactin; extrapyramidal effects at higher doses; amisulpride lengthens the QT
Quetiapinesedation, weight gain, postural hypotension; few extrapyramidal effects
Haloperidoldystonia, parkinsonism, akathisia, tardive dyskinesia, QT prolongation
Lurasidone, cariprazineakathisia; low metabolic risk; cariprazine has some evidence for predominant negative symptoms
  • One antipsychotic at the lowest effective dose; a first episode often needs less than a relapse.
  • Response is judged at two to four weeks; a trial is adequate after at least six weeks at a therapeutic dose, with adherence checked.
  • Antipsychotics are combined only while switching or after clozapine has failed.
  • A benzodiazepine helps agitation for a short time; catatonia is treated with lorazepam, then ECT.

Treatment resistance and clozapine

About a third of patients keep at least moderate symptoms after two antipsychotics, each given for six weeks or more at an adequate dose with adherence confirmed. Once the diagnosis, adherence (plasma levels help), substance use and interactions have been reviewed, clozapine is offered: the only antipsychotic shown to work better in treatment-resistant schizophrenia, it helps about four in ten and reduces suicide. It is underused and often started years late. It is titrated from 12.5 mg over two to three weeks, aiming for a plasma level of at least 350 µg/L.

DangerWhat is done
Neutropenia (about 3 per cent) and agranulocytosis (under 1 per cent), mostly in the first 18 weeksregistered monitoring of the neutrophil count; fever or sore throat checked at once; stopped below the threshold
Myocarditis in the first two months, cardiomyopathy latertroponin and CRP weekly for the first month in many services; stopped if confirmed
Constipation and ileus, more often fatal than agranulocytosisasked about at every visit; laxatives early
Seizures (dose-related), hypersalivation, sedation, weight gain, diabetes, tachycardia, hypotensiondose adjusted; metabolic monitoring
  • In the UK the full blood count is checked weekly for 18 weeks, fortnightly to a year, then every four weeks, through a monitoring service; the MHRA announced a review of this in 2025. In the EU since 2025 the absolute neutrophil count alone is used, at least 1,500 per mm³ to start (1,000 in benign ethnic neutropenia), weekly for 18 weeks, monthly to the end of the first year, then every 12 weeks, and yearly after two years without neutropenia.
  • Stopping smoking can raise clozapine levels by about half over a week or two, into toxicity, as can infection or ciprofloxacin.
  • After more than 48 hours of missed doses it is retitrated from 12.5 mg.

Psychological and social care

Cognitive behavioural therapy for psychosis (at least 16 sessions) eases the distress of voices and delusions, and family intervention (at least 10 sessions over 3 to 12 months) reduces relapse. Arts therapies help negative symptoms, and supported employment, education and housing come through psychosocial rehabilitation.

Relapse, adherence and physical health

In trials, about a quarter of patients kept on an antipsychotic relapsed within a year, against nearly two thirds switched to placebo. After a first episode treatment usually continues for one to two years, and after relapses for years, with any reduction slow and watched. About half of patients take medication irregularly; shared decisions, fewer side effects, simple regimens and family support help, and where non-adherence keeps causing relapse, or the patient prefers it, a long-acting injectable antipsychotic is offered.

Weight is checked at baseline, weekly for six weeks, at 12 weeks, at a year and then yearly; blood pressure, HbA1c and lipids at baseline, 12 weeks, a year and yearly; prolactin and an ECG when the drug or symptoms call for it. Diabetes and dyslipidaemia are treated as in anyone else, and everyone who smokes is offered help to stop.

Epidemiology

new cases, the median incidence, varying several-fold between places
about 15per 100,000 a year
live with schizophrenia, about 27 million
1 in 300people worldwide
the incidence in men compared with women
1.4times

The lifetime risk is about 0.7 per cent and the point prevalence 3 to 5 per 1,000. Onset peaks at 18 to 25 in men and 25 to 35 in women, who have a second, smaller peak after 45; onset before 13 is rare. Incidence is higher in cities, in migrants and their children and with high-potency cannabis. It is among the leading causes of disability in young adults, mostly through lost education and work.

Prognosis

In round figures, 15 to 25 per cent recover fully, most have relapses with some lasting negative and cognitive symptoms, and about one in five stays severely disabled. Four in five relapse within five years of a first episode; stopping medication makes relapse about five times as likely, and cannabis, stress and a critical family add to the risk.

Better outcomeWorse outcome
acute onset, clear precipitant, later onset, female sexinsidious or early onset, male sex
good premorbid functioningpoor premorbid functioning, cognitive impairment
prominent mood symptoms, family history of mood disorderprominent negative symptoms, family history of schizophrenia
short untreated psychosis, good adherencelong untreated psychosis, continued cannabis, poor adherence

Life expectancy is shorter by roughly 10 to 15 years, depending on the study and the country. About 4 to 5 per cent die by suicide, most often early in the illness, after discharge and in post-psychotic depression (see suicidal behaviour), but most excess deaths are from heart and lung disease. Long-term antipsychotic treatment, clozapine above all, is linked with lower mortality than none. Follow-up reviews the mental state and warning signs, side effects, risk, physical health, substance use, and work, housing and relationships.

Check yourselfAnswer, then say how sure you were: a lucky guess still counts as a weak point.

1A 22-year-old student has heard a voice describing everything he does for six weeks, and says his neighbour puts thoughts into his head. He has stopped going to lectures. He uses no drugs, his mood is normal, and the examination and blood tests are normal. What is the most likely ICD-10 diagnosis?

2A 30-year-old woman with schizophrenia still hears persecutory voices daily after 8 weeks of risperidone 6 mg and then 8 weeks of olanzapine 20 mg. Plasma levels confirm she takes them. What is the next step?

3Three weeks after starting clozapine, a 26-year-old man has a temperature of 38.2 °C, a resting pulse of 124 a minute, chest discomfort and breathlessness. What should be done first?

4For four months a 19-year-old has felt that strangers stare at him and has briefly heard his name called when no one was there. He doubts both, is distressed and his schoolwork has fallen off. What is recommended?

5People with schizophrenia die on average roughly 10 to 15 years earlier than others. What causes most of the excess deaths?

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Dopamine

Blocking D2 receptors eases the positive symptoms; the negative and cognitive ones respond less.